FD today, tomorrow = feast day.
This topic contains 54 replies, has 5 voices, and was last updated by Melilotus 4 years ago.
The article about the Diamond Princess is lame nonsense. Several key factors weren’t even mentioned and in the week since it has been 3 more people have died and there are still over a hundred people that haven’t recovered. With people now all over the world it is possible the death rate is even higher than recorded.
Here are the factors that weren’t considers or perhaps avoided.
1) People were working hard not to become infected. The people were in a quarantine! People were infected in spite of that. The article assumes that was a low rate of infection, it wasn’t. If people were left on the ship for longer the infections would have likely continued to climb. Countries flew back their people because they were afraid in another week or two everyone would have been infection in-spite of the quarantine.
2) The people that were infected were found early and moved into hospitals right away. In fact a number of infections in Tokyo came from moving those people. There were hospital resources to handle these people. That is vastly different than going to a hospital when one is already physically ill.
3) Some people that left the Diamond princes were later to be found infected in various countries and those aren’t likely correctly reflected in the totals. In fact doing so is probably impossible at this point or at least would require a lot of research.
4) The strain of the virus may be less virulent than what is currently going around. Not sure if that has been studied. There are two well known variants referred to the S-type and L-type. There are actually hundreds of mutations but the L-type is a better fit in to the ACE2 cell receptors and seems spread and kill faster.
There are likely other factors. What the Diamond Princess did show is being on a cruise ship with this virus isn’t safe. However I think most people already knew that.
Finally the article is making a nonsense comparison. Vehicle accidents don’t overwhelm healthcare systems, the novel corona virus destroy healthcare systems. That in turn will cause more deaths that are not counted as Covid-19 deaths. In some cases that indirect death rate may be even worse.
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Michael Mosley gives an update for 2019, current research in the field and announces a tour starting in February.
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